百家樂大學鑽鑫的哈佛
Baccarat Great Learning, from Zuan Xin
By Zuan Xin
Now we learn our method for tracking the shoe. Clear all other methods from your mind and concentrate on our method, created by and designed for players like ourselves.
It is extremely important to learn to track the shoe perfectly accurately. We do not depend on anybody else to track the shoe for us and we do not rely on the scoreboard displayed by the casino. We are players and we trust in ourselves and accept responsibility for our decisions at the baccarat table.
The red-on-gold table shows the hands dealt in the shoe for the 2005 Chinese baccarat challenge we won here in Las Vegas. Amidst great excitement, we exercised total patience and we waited for the shoe, enjoying the process by which it revealed its beauty.
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The scorecard converts these data with our most useful method of tracking the shoe. All single digit numbers, black for a banker decision and red for a player decision, with thin straight lines at the top of a square to show the ties, a black line for a tie after a banker decision and a red line for a tie after a player decision. We make them thin and at the top because there can be more than one consecutive tie and we need room in that same square for the next decision. The purpose of our tracking method is to provide us with a snapshot of the pattern of the shoe for us to reckon against the known pattern of the patterns of the game of baccarat.
We keep that pattern of the patterns in mind now. Looking at the table, it is possible for us to notice these data: 80 hands, 8 ties, 72 decisions, 37 banker decisions, 35 player decisions. Then we may notice these data: 43 runs of 1, 2, 3, 4, or 5 consecutive decisions, 25 runs of 1 consecutive decision, 18 runs of more than 1 consecutive decision. And we may notice these data: 10 runs of 2 consecutive decisions, 8 runs of more than 2 consecutive decisions. Finally we may notice these data: 6 runs of 3 consecutive decisions, 1 run of 4 consecutive decisions, 1 run of 5 consecutive decisions.
We repeat: the point of our tracking method is to effectively present these data to ourselves in order to be able to continually reckon the pattern of the current shoe against the known pattern of the patterns of baccarat. That is that!
When we track the shoe on the scorecard, we proceed from the 1st row at the top going down and from the 1st column at the left going across, keeping each row and column in sequence so that the data will jump right out at us during play. We note the tie hands exactly as described above and shown on the scorecard, never disrupting our sequences of relevant data. We write very clearly in the correct color using our two color pen. And we make certain sure that we know the correct result to enter!
For example, in the first ten hands of this shoe, we start with a banker decision, we track this by entering 1 in black in the 1st row at the top in the 1st column at the left. The next decision is also a banker decision, it is the 1st occurrence of more than 1 consecutive decision, we track this by entering 1 in black in the 2nd row below our 1st entry, still entering in the 1st column at the left because we are still seeing the 1st run of the shoe. Similarly, we track the next banker decision by entering 1 in black in the 3rd row below our 2nd entry, it is the 1st occurrence of more than 2 consecutive decisions. With the next decision a player decision, we note the start of the 2nd run of the shoe, moving on to the 2nd column just to the right of the 1st column, entering 2 in red. And so on.
As the decisions occur, the pattern of our shoe is quick and easy to reckon correctly against the known pattern of the patterns! Observe that each row is an orderly sequence of single digit numbers. We do not use two digit numbers because our tracking will become too difficult. We can see readily what sequence of 10 we are entering. After we enter 0 to mark the end of each sequence of 10, we start the new sequence by entering 1 when a future decision requires an entry in the box in that row further to the right. That’s it!
Take some time to contemplate the information. We cannot emphasize strongly enough how important it is for players to track the shoe properly. Copy the scorecard exactly a few times to program your mind to be able to do it well amidst the noise of the baccarat table. Concentrate on readability. There is no time to try to decipher illegible tracking!
No matter what anyone tells you, our tracking method provides us with the relevant information we need presented in an unconfusing manner that is quick and easy to use. We see people writing down lots of irrelevant data, such as the final totals of every banker and player hand. A fundamental rule of decision making under uncertainty is: Do not confuse yourself!
We recommend selecting a baccarat buddy for your play. A baccarat buddy can ensure that his or her baccarat buddy tracks the shoe exactly, and maintains conformance with the proper playing method of a baccarat player. And a good baccarat buddy will prevent his or her baccarat buddy from devolving into a gambler who conjures up all manner of rationalizations for impulsive gambling instead of rational playing.
As we noted, the table and the scoreboard show the hands dealt in the shoe for the 2005 Chinese baccarat challenge we won here in Las Vegas. The two best players in our Chinese baccarat community came together.
We were up against a very great player who excelled in our traditional Chinese baccarat playing methods, a first class gentleman known to many of the biggest baccarat players and professionals in America and Asia.
The two competitors were each placed in separate isolated rooms with a dealer to settle any bets placed, while the shoe was dealt out in the center room. This was a contest of playing methods where neither player had any knowledge of how his opponent was playing the shoe!
At the end, we emerged the winner. Our honorable opponent employed a most creative combination of all of the traditional playing methods, including those eye catching 3 Row and 6 Row pattern tallies that we consider less than worthless.
It is an accepted principle that the first test of a baccarat playing method is its average percentage of bets won and lost. As the tie bet is well known to be a significant casino advantage bet, tie bets are not considered in testing the usefulness of a playing method. If a playing method cannot pass this first test, no money management method placed on top of it can make it successful in the long run. Therefore, to distill the challenge down to a pure contest of baccarat playing methods, the winner was determined to be the player with the highest winning percentage.
A winning player bet was treated as 1 won and 0 lost. A winning banker bet was treated as 1 won and 0.05 lost. Any losing bet was treated as 0 won and 1 lost. A tie bet was treated as 0 won and 0 lost.
The winning moments of this most exciting challenge shoe can be seen in the table and found on the scorecard. Our honorable opponent, ever the gambler and proud of it, placed many many bets in accordance with his method, 70 bets in all, and proclaimed his legendary luck still invincible, achieving a 57% winning percentage, and he showed the wide and nervous smile across his sweaty face to match it, said smile only to be wiped off his face upon his learning that our winning percentage was an astounding 95% based on 1 single winning bet on the banker hand at Hand 44.
“Who plays baccarat like that?” asked the confounded former Number 1 baccarat player in Bet City. “Players,” we replied with quiet confidence.
And the key to our victory? That we had the discipline not to place bets at Hand 28 and Hand 36 and Hand 66 and especially not at Hand 77!
Consider most very carefully what we have just read together. Next time we will discuss the key winning principles of a player.
Please feel free to email me at zuanxinbaijiale@yahoo.com with your suggestions and comments. The volume of email is growing so please be patient for our reply. Thank you!
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